The German economy in March 2023 – looking good at the surface…

…and maybe not rotten to the core. Still, to forecast the development of the German economy is more an art than science: While we enjoyed a  „promising start“ in January (here), the February figures (here) put a serious damper on it. So let’s take a closer look on how the German economy fared in March … „The German economy in March 2023 – looking good at the surface…“ weiterlesen

The German economy in February 2023 – the light at the end of the tunnel…

…might indeed prove to be from an incoming train and not – as I summised the previous months (while I thought in the summer 2022 that we were nearing a recession in 2023, a silver-lining already occured in October (here) which got even brighter in November (here) and December 2022 (here)) – and not the … „The German economy in February 2023 – the light at the end of the tunnel…“ weiterlesen

Live

„Wirtschaft durch die Augen eines Juristen“ können Sie auch live & in Farbe und in der ersten Reihe erleben. Seit 2017 verbreite ich legonomics nicht nur im Internet & Print (in Form der „Cassandras“, s. hier), sondern halte auch Keynotes und längere Vorträge zu allen Aspekten, die ich im Rahmen dieses Blogs beleuchte, insbesondere zu Chancen- … „Live“ weiterlesen

The German economy in January 2023 – of(f) to a promising start?

It is quite interesting how fast situations and perceptions can change: While I thought in the summer 2022 that we were nearing a recession in 2023, a silver-lining already occured in October (here) which got even brighter in November (here) and December 2022 (here). Hence, the question now is, will we be able to avoid … „The German economy in January 2023 – of(f) to a promising start?“ weiterlesen

The German economy in December 2022 – not so bad after all!?!

The war in Ukraine was still raging, but even in Germany Corona became old news as 2022 drew to a close. Hence, the hope which came up in October already as to the fate of the German economy (here) stabilised in November (here) and got even better at the end of one of the most … „The German economy in December 2022 – not so bad after all!?!“ weiterlesen

The German economy in November 2022 – have we really seen the bottom?

The war in Ukraine is still ongoin though there wasn’t too much actual movement throughout the month – probably due to Rasputitsa(for regular updates, cf. here, in German). The hope which came up last month as to the fate of the German economy (here) seems to somewhat stabilise now albeit on a low level. So, … „The German economy in November 2022 – have we really seen the bottom?“ weiterlesen

Inflation – und abwärts geht’s!

Nachdem ich bei meinen Betrachtungen der Inflation im letzten Monat noch ein Fragezeichen hinter den Abwärtstrend gesetzt hatte (hier), scheint sich dieser Trend nunmehr zu verfestigen, wie die nachfolgenden Betrachtungen zeigen.

Fog of War – 19. Dezember 2022 – Tag 299

Nach dem „Totalausfall“ des deutschen Schützenpanzers Puma (hier, nicht meine Worte, sondern die des Gen von Butlar) könnte ich ja jetzt in einen ähnlichen Rant verfallen, wie neulich, als wir feststellen konnten, das die Bundeswehr acht Monate nach Beginn des Krieges in der UKR noch nicht mal Munition nachgeordert hatte (hier). Könnte ich. Mir geht … „Fog of War – 19. Dezember 2022 – Tag 299“ weiterlesen

The German economy in October 2022 – things are never as bad as they seem, hopefully

While the war at the eastern and southern front is (not very much but still) progressing in favour of Ukraine, Russia continued its attacks on civil infrastructure unabated (for regular updates, cf. here, in German). After hope for the German economy was (thus) already in short supply in July (cf. here), everything seemed to be … „The German economy in October 2022 – things are never as bad as they seem, hopefully“ weiterlesen