Morning Briefing – 25. April 2018 – IFO-Geschäftsklimaindex // Banken-Prognose // Skyscraper-Index

Kirschblueten Heerstr Sonne klein

Guten Morgen,

here we go: nachdem er vorgestern noch an der Marke kratzte, hat er sie schon gestern genommen: Die Rede ist vom Referenzzinsatz der 10 jährigen US-Staatsanleihen, der die 3,0%-Marke knackte (hier). Das kam auch für mich jetzt überraschend schnell – wie auch seit Jahresanfang die wirtschaftlichen Entwicklungen im Vergleicht mit 2017 eher im Zeitraffer abzulaufen scheinen. Wie gestern schon angedeutet, dürfte das zweite Halbjahr 2018 damit ziemlich spannend werden.   „Morning Briefing – 25. April 2018 – IFO-Geschäftsklimaindex // Banken-Prognose // Skyscraper-Index“ weiterlesen

The German economy in March 2018 – Weakness ahead?

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Also in comparison with February, March 2018 does not seem to be the month of recovery but rather a mixed bag if not the first signal of another bumby road ahead: „The German economy in March 2018 – Weakness ahead?“ weiterlesen

The German economy in February 2018 – a dent only?

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Well, well, at least, we will soon have a new government. That is the good news for the month. The economy, though, did not do so well in the last month, especially in comparison with January 2018: „The German economy in February 2018 – a dent only?“ weiterlesen

Morning Briefing – 22. Februar 2018 – Crash // Wachstum USA // Wachstum D

Morgen Schweiz

Guten Morgen,

Gestern Abend erreichte der Referenzzinssatz der zehnjährigen US-Staatsanleihen mit 2,95% einen neuen Höchststand. Auch, wenn der Zinssatz tagesaktuell sinkt, sollte einem das zu denken geben.  „Morning Briefing – 22. Februar 2018 – Crash // Wachstum USA // Wachstum D“ weiterlesen

The German Economy in January 2018 – no breathtaking…

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Due to my annual skiing-holidays, I am a little late with my January monthly and thus had to watch in awe the stock exchanges crashing all over the world. Currently, the search is ongoing for the reasons of this crash. I will dwell deeper into this in the next month. Before, let’s look back into January – where the GroKo was still under construction and the German economy seemed to happily hum along:  „The German Economy in January 2018 – no breathtaking…“ weiterlesen

The German Economy in December 2017 – record ending to a record year!

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As an awesome year drew where record chased record, Germans finally seemed to enjoyed themselves rather than going out on a shopping-spree. At least that is what the incoming figures about retail around Christmas tell us: Despite growing by a healthy three per cent, especially smaller retails seem to be not too happy about their sales figures (cf. here).  „The German Economy in December 2017 – record ending to a record year!“ weiterlesen

The German Economy in October 2017 – on the rise

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It is getting quite boring to announce record after record in the German economy: From DAX to employment and from industrial output to ifo – record-highs everywhere. We Germans are not accustomed to such a lengthy period of record-growht. There are, however, not many pessimists left now who are willing to predict any sort of crisis. And I am currently at least not one of them. First, let’s look into the German economy with the help of several key indicators:  „The German Economy in October 2017 – on the rise“ weiterlesen

Morning Briefing – 26. September 2017 // Cyber-Crime // WP’s unter Feuer // IFO-Index fällt

Morning

Guten Morgen,

Die Folgen der Wahl werden spürbar: die AfD zerlegt sich gleich mal selber, die Geschlossenheit der SPD ist dahin, Rücktrittsforderungen gegen „Drehhofer“ werden laut, FDP und Grüne stellen Bedingungen für Jamaika – und die Kanzlerin? Ja, wo läuft sie denn? Zur SPD natürlich, das findet sie nämlich doof, dass die jetzt nicht mehr mitspielen wollen. In Anbetracht dieser Unübersichtlichkeit warnt Fuest erst mal vor Neuwahlen – weil die der Wirtschaft schaden würden. Also, der ganz normale Komödienstadel. Wir dürfen auf die Koalitionsverhandlungen gespannt sein… „Morning Briefing – 26. September 2017 // Cyber-Crime // WP’s unter Feuer // IFO-Index fällt“ weiterlesen

The German economy in July 2017 – Peak German Economy?

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Although we will see in the following that not all but most indicators point to another record month of July (thereby topping June), there are at least some minor signs of trouble ahead – which still can be resolved easily, though. Hence, let’s take a deeper dive into the data:  „The German economy in July 2017 – Peak German Economy?“ weiterlesen