The German economy in August 2022 – dire straits?

The war in Ukraine is progressing very nicely – for the Ukraine, for the Russians not so much (for regular updates, cf. here, in German). Despite (or because?) of this development, hope was already in short supply in the last month (cf. here). Now, with our Ukrainian brothers (and sisters) in arms recovering lost ground, we seem to be in dire straits. But hey, let’s take a closer look:

„The German economy in August 2022 – dire straits?“ weiterlesen

The German economy in July 2022 – hope is in short supply now

The war in Ukraine currently sees a change of initiative – from Russia to Ukraine (for regular updates, cf. here, in German) which seem to validate the optimism Germany’s economy developed already in June 2022 (cf. here). Still, the question is whether this optimism is warranted – which I denied. So, let’s take a closer look:

„The German economy in July 2022 – hope is in short supply now“ weiterlesen

The German economy in June 2022 – still prevailing optimism creates its own risks

While the war in Ukraine continued unabated (for regular updates, cf. here, in German), the German economy developed some hope in May 2022 (cf. here). Hence, the question in June is whether this optimism was and is still warranted. So, let’s take a closer look:

„The German economy in June 2022 – still prevailing optimism creates its own risks“ weiterlesen

The German economy in May 2022 – optimism and hope warranted?

After the reality of the war in Ukraine (for regular updates, cf. here, in German) has set-in in Germany, making for a mixed (economic) bag in April (cf. here) the question is how the German economy fared in May 2022. So, let’s take a closer look:

„The German economy in May 2022 – optimism and hope warranted?“ weiterlesen

The German economy in April 2022 – slow recognition

In April 2022 the war in Ukraine (for regular updates, cf. here, in German) was also dominating the economic headlines in Germany, while Corona slowly faded from the front pages. After the reality of the war and other factors hindering a swift ecomic upturn had seemingly set in with the German economy in March 2022 (here), the question is how it fared in April. So, let’s take a closer look:

„The German economy in April 2022 – slow recognition“ weiterlesen

Fog of War – 13. Mai 2022 – Tag 79

So, Finnlands Führung zeigt nun mehr oder minder formell an, dass das Land der Nato beitreten will (hier). Herr Putin erreicht nicht nur seine Kriegsziele nicht, er schafft es auch, „Hirntote“ (hier) wieder zu beleben (böser Twitter Kommentar dazu hier). Heute geht es erneut um prägnante Verluste RUS Kräfte und  – da Freitach – ein kleiner „Long Read“ mit Anregungen, über die konkreten Auswirkungen der Zeitenwende nachzudenken.

„Fog of War – 13. Mai 2022 – Tag 79“ weiterlesen

The German economy in March 2022 – Reality is setting in

The war of Russia against Ukraine dominates the headlines for over a month now (cf. here for the current situations update, in German). And while other nations and the largest parts of Europe had their respective „freedom day“ a while ago, Germany was still fighting its own (unwinable) war against Corona – until the envisioned vaccination-obligation came crushingly down in the German parliament (as to the current German corona-status, cf. here, in German). The war as well as the (retarded) liberation from Corona will surely take a large toll on the German economy in the long run. In February (here), though, the German economy did not look too bad. But, hey, let’s take a look at immediate consequences, if any:

„The German economy in March 2022 – Reality is setting in“ weiterlesen

Fog of War – 05.04.2022 – Tag 41

Das Tagebuch heute mal mit einem kritischen Blick auf die „Bauchnabelschau“ deutscher Politiker angesichts der angekündigten „Zeitenwende“. Letztere scheint die Töchter von RUS Unternehmen in Deutschland schneller zu treffen als Waffenlieferungen die UKR erreichen…

„Fog of War – 05.04.2022 – Tag 41“ weiterlesen

In eigener Sache: „2022 – Cassandras Blick in die Glaskugel“

You never cure structural deficits,
the system corrects
itself by collapsing“

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nunmehr zum fünften Mal (s. zu den Jahren 2020 / 2021 hier und hier) durfte ich meine Jahresprognose für das laufende Jahr in der ZInsO veröffentlichen, dem Verlag und den Schriftleitern sei es gedankt. Denn die (Lese-)Kost dürfte manchem Leser sowohl von der Länge, als auch von den konkreten Prognosen her ziemlich schwer im Magen liegen.

„In eigener Sache: „2022 – Cassandras Blick in die Glaskugel““ weiterlesen