The German economy in August 2020 – licking its wounds

Literally at the eleventh hour of September I got to finish my review of the German economy in August – rather for purposes of chronology than actual information. Still it is a worthwhile look to behold, the German German economy – after bottoming out in May (cf. here) – started its rebound in June (cf. here), the rebound gaining momentum in July (cf. here), August figures overall seem to indicate a further strengthening of this trend. But, hey, let’s look into the German economy in some more detail:

„The German economy in August 2020 – licking its wounds“ weiterlesen

Morning Briefing – 7. September 2020 – Zombie-Special

Guten Morgen, 

Wenigstens an Hand der Warnung von Herrn Herr Sewing von der Deutschen Bank vor einer „Zombifizierung“ in der letzten Woche (hier) entzündete sich zumindest ein Diskussiönchen über die Langzeitfolgen der gegenwärtigen Rettungspolitik, die – wie seit jeher seit der Finanzkrise – ja lediglich daraus besteht, dass die Zentralbanken Geld in „die Märkte“ pumpen, als gäbe es kein Morgen. Dass das Thema an sich weder neu noch großartig zu variieren ist, zeigt alleine mein Blog – Fünf Seiten mit Artikeln über und mit Zombies (hier), der erste vom 16. März 2016 (hier). Und gegen Blogger, wie Daniel Stelter bin ich damit immer noch nur ein Waisenknabe (hier). Aus aktuellem Anlass addiere ich heute mal einen Artikel zur langen Serie dieser Warnungen:  

„Morning Briefing – 7. September 2020 – Zombie-Special“ weiterlesen

The German economy in July 2020 – the sky is the limit! Sure?

After the German economy bottomed out in May (cf. here) and started its rebound in June (cf. here), most parameters indicate that the German economy is recuperating rather swiftly. But, hey, let’s look into the German economy in some more detail:

„The German economy in July 2020 – the sky is the limit! Sure?“ weiterlesen

The German economy in June 2020 – rebound?

While in May it seemd that the corona-related crash of the German economy had already bottomed out (cf. here), the data for June 2020 even shows the first signs of a possible rebound. But, hey, let’s look into the German economy in some more detail:

„The German economy in June 2020 – rebound?“ weiterlesen

The German economy in May 2020 – bottomed out yet?

Throughout the last month, the bad news kept indeed (cf. here) constantly flowing in like waves on a beach. Given the easing of the lockdown and the first tentative steps to reopen the economy at the end of May the question is whether the German economy already bottomed out. To get a grip on that, let’s look into the German economy in some more detail:

„The German economy in May 2020 – bottomed out yet?“ weiterlesen

The German economy in April 2020 – and the waves roll in…

As foreseen last, month, the Corona-Pandemic has inded cut into the German economy like a hot knife through an ice-cake – and it does not look good. But hey, let’s look into the German economy in some more detail:

„The German economy in April 2020 – and the waves roll in…“ weiterlesen

The German economy in March 2020 – in anticipation….

The Corona-Pandemic is cutting through the global economy like a hot knife through an ice-cake – and the German economy is awaiting its „cut“ from the overall cake, so to say (or to stick last months parlour (here): awaiting its piece of sh*** coming back from the fan). But hey, let’s look into the German economy in some more detail:

„The German economy in March 2020 – in anticipation….“ weiterlesen

The German economy in February 2020 – when TSHTF!

So, although with a view to the ongoing meltdown in the global economy it might seem a little odd to look at last months figures, this makes sense – if only to ascertain the status before TSHTF. Since, even before the virus really hit, the German economy remained in a rather fragile state, as the January monthly showed (here). But, hey, let’s look into the German economy in some more detail:

„The German economy in February 2020 – when TSHTF!“ weiterlesen

Morning Briefing 13. März 2020 – Sparkassen // Insolvenzantragspflichten // Zombies

Was war das denn gestern? Die EZB-Chefin verkündet ein Rettungspaket (hier und hier) und der DAX erleidet den zweithöchsten Verlust seiner Gesichte (-12,24% (!) hier); die Fed verkündet „QE to infinity“ (hier) – und der Dow Jones crasht um ebenfalls rekordverdächtige nahezu 10% (hier). Und: Warum ist denn niemand auf die Idee gekommen, mal den Handel nicht nur zeitweise (wie in den USA geschehen) auszusetzen, wie bei anderen Crashs? Entweder wurden die ganzen „Masters of the Universe“ von den Ereignissen überrollt oder Ihnen kommt die Ausrede „Corona“ für einen Markt-Reset ganz gelegen. Beides allerdings keine Begründungen, die mir Vertrauen einflößen.

„Morning Briefing 13. März 2020 – Sparkassen // Insolvenzantragspflichten // Zombies“ weiterlesen

The German economy in January 2020 – before the virus hits

While the last „Monthlies“ pointed to a plateauing of the German economy (cf. here and here), the beginning of January marked the point where everybody began to take the threats emanating from the Corona-virus seriously. However, since the economic impact was only starting to gain traction, it is quite interesting to see how the German economy evolved prior to this crucial chain of events. But, hey, let’s look into the German economy in some more detail:

„The German economy in January 2020 – before the virus hits“ weiterlesen