Kategorie: Monthly

The German economy in July 2018 – statistics and sentiment indicators (never) lie!

cropped-red-deer-woburn-abbey-01525290333-copyright-remains-with-his-grace-the-duke-of-bedford-and-the-trustees-of-the-bedford-estates_16-9-1.jpg

The mixed picture described for the German economy in June continues in July – also to some apparent issues with statistical accuracy:

„The German economy in July 2018 – statistics and sentiment indicators (never) lie!“ weiterlesen

The German economy in June 2018 – mixed picture

cropped-red-deer-woburn-abbey-01525290333-copyright-remains-with-his-grace-the-duke-of-bedford-and-the-trustees-of-the-bedford-estates_16-9-1.jpg

The „cracks“ in the German economy described in May seem to widen in some areas, but to heal in others. Hence, a crash is at least not imminent from the early warning indicators, June rather presents a mixed picture: „The German economy in June 2018 – mixed picture“ weiterlesen

The German economy in May 2018 – first cracks

cropped-red-deer-woburn-abbey-01525290333-copyright-remains-with-his-grace-the-duke-of-bedford-and-the-trustees-of-the-bedford-estates_16-9-1.jpg

So, after the „plateau“ in April, it seems that the German economy experiences the first real signs of a possible downswing: „The German economy in May 2018 – first cracks“ weiterlesen

The German Economy in April 2018 – plateau

cropped-red-deer-woburn-abbey-01525290333-copyright-remains-with-his-grace-the-duke-of-bedford-and-the-trustees-of-the-bedford-estates_16-9-1.jpg

Again, after a bag of mixed signals in March, I do not really know what to make of the April 2018 data:

„The German Economy in April 2018 – plateau“ weiterlesen

The German economy in March 2018 – Weakness ahead?

cropped-red-deer-woburn-abbey-01525290333-copyright-remains-with-his-grace-the-duke-of-bedford-and-the-trustees-of-the-bedford-estates_16-9-1.jpg

Also in comparison with February, March 2018 does not seem to be the month of recovery but rather a mixed bag if not the first signal of another bumby road ahead: „The German economy in March 2018 – Weakness ahead?“ weiterlesen

The German economy in February 2018 – a dent only?

cropped-red-deer-woburn-abbey-01525290333-copyright-remains-with-his-grace-the-duke-of-bedford-and-the-trustees-of-the-bedford-estates_16-9-1.jpg

Well, well, at least, we will soon have a new government. That is the good news for the month. The economy, though, did not do so well in the last month, especially in comparison with January 2018: „The German economy in February 2018 – a dent only?“ weiterlesen

The German Economy in January 2018 – no breathtaking…

cropped-red-deer-woburn-abbey-01525290333-copyright-remains-with-his-grace-the-duke-of-bedford-and-the-trustees-of-the-bedford-estates_16-9-1.jpg

Due to my annual skiing-holidays, I am a little late with my January monthly and thus had to watch in awe the stock exchanges crashing all over the world. Currently, the search is ongoing for the reasons of this crash. I will dwell deeper into this in the next month. Before, let’s look back into January – where the GroKo was still under construction and the German economy seemed to happily hum along:  „The German Economy in January 2018 – no breathtaking…“ weiterlesen

The German Economy in December 2017 – record ending to a record year!

cropped-red-deer-woburn-abbey-01525290333-copyright-remains-with-his-grace-the-duke-of-bedford-and-the-trustees-of-the-bedford-estates_16-9-1.jpg

As an awesome year drew where record chased record, Germans finally seemed to enjoyed themselves rather than going out on a shopping-spree. At least that is what the incoming figures about retail around Christmas tell us: Despite growing by a healthy three per cent, especially smaller retails seem to be not too happy about their sales figures (cf. here).  „The German Economy in December 2017 – record ending to a record year!“ weiterlesen

The German Economy in November 2017 – No Worries!

cropped-red-deer-woburn-abbey-01525290333-copyright-remains-with-his-grace-the-duke-of-bedford-and-the-trustees-of-the-bedford-estates_16-9-1.jpg

Despite (or because of?) a political turmoil after the failed „Jamaica“-coalition talks in Germany (others would say: normal political circumstances), the economy is doing quite well, even if the DAX showed some weakness in November: „The German Economy in November 2017 – No Worries!“ weiterlesen

The German Economy in October 2017 – on the rise

cropped-red-deer-woburn-abbey-01525290333-copyright-remains-with-his-grace-the-duke-of-bedford-and-the-trustees-of-the-bedford-estates_16-9-1.jpg

It is getting quite boring to announce record after record in the German economy: From DAX to employment and from industrial output to ifo – record-highs everywhere. We Germans are not accustomed to such a lengthy period of record-growht. There are, however, not many pessimists left now who are willing to predict any sort of crisis. And I am currently at least not one of them. First, let’s look into the German economy with the help of several key indicators:  „The German Economy in October 2017 – on the rise“ weiterlesen