The German economy in June 2017 – can it get any better? Really?

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With a view to the most recent figures and indices tracing the German economy this question should indeed be permitted. After May 2017 setting record after record (cf. here) the question is whether June topped it again: „The German economy in June 2017 – can it get any better? Really?“ weiterlesen

Aktuelle globale wirtschaftliche Lage

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Damit in der täglichen Informationsflut das Gesamtbild der wirtschaftlichen Lage nicht so ganz aus dem Blick gerät, habe ich nachfolgend mal ein paar Eckpunkte „festgezurrt“: „Aktuelle globale wirtschaftliche Lage“ weiterlesen

Baltic Dry Index soars – Chinese Containerized Freight Index crashes – who can make sense out of this?

photo: Michael Bentley

As already previously discussed, the Baltic Dry Index soars – rather uninterrupted since 11 February. On Friday, 9 April it reached 539 points – an increase of more than 85% in less than two months. However, the Chinese Containerized Freight Index further crashed to 640.27 on Friday thus widening the „spread“ between the two indices to a new record.  „Baltic Dry Index soars – Chinese Containerized Freight Index crashes – who can make sense out of this?“ weiterlesen

Rollercoaster? Was that it? or what?

photo: netwalkerz_net

Okay, I feel a little lost here. Already on February 16th I wondered how long the rally was going to last, then – despite a sharp decline in the German IFO index – announced on February 23, the hausse kept going – into March.  To sum it up, despite ongoing bad news from the world economy, stocks (at least in Europe and the US) and commodities have rallied since 11 February: „Rollercoaster? Was that it? or what?“ weiterlesen

Is that it? – not only the Baltic Dry is soaring lately…

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Not too long ago I published a post on the Baltic Dry Index (BDIY) not being a (leading) crisis indicator – on that day, the BDIY stood at 293 points. On 10 February 2016 it finally reached its lows – with 290 points. However, since then, the BDIY has started an astonishing recovery. „Is that it? – not only the Baltic Dry is soaring lately…“ weiterlesen

Baltic Dry Index – really a sign for the coming bust?

08.02.16 – Today, the Baltic Dry Index (BDIY) stands at 293 points – coming from its all-time high of 11,793 points on 20 May 2008 and from its “last-time high” of 2,330 points on 13 December 2014. Currently it seems that this index is in line with the downward movement of other indicators, like commodities, bonds, etc. However, does this correlative movement make the BDIY really a reliable (leading) crisis indicator? „Baltic Dry Index – really a sign for the coming bust?“ weiterlesen